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Friday, March 27, 2020

What should I do about my 401(k) contributions? COVID-19 has taken the United States and the world by storm. Businesses have closed their doors, toilet paper has flown off the shelves, and millions and millions of Americans are working...

 

Tuesday, March 17, 2020

Double Whammy The Federal Reserve pulled all the stops over the weekend and cut interest rates by a full 1% to a target range of 0-0.25%. The Federal reserve also announced several measures to support the liquidity in the market and...

 

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Myopic Dystopia A lot has transpired in the last couple of weeks with a record number of 3% moves in the market. The fastest 10% correction from the top, the 10 year treasury yield falling below 1%, a 30% decline in crude oil prices in...

 

Friday, February 28, 2020

Stay the Course It just amazing how two days of quick sell-offs can change the sentiment from extremely bullish to bearish as investors rush out to de-risk all at the same time. According to NDR research, the Trading Sentiment...

 

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Risk Off The excessive optimism in equities have gotten so extended that the bullish sentiment-expectations that the stock market will rise over the next six months, stayed above 40% on back-to-back weeks for the fourth time in 16...

 

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Thursday, February 20, 2020

Caution warranted… We continue to exercise caution despite the market making new highs and the excessive optimism shown by the market remains undaunted. 2020 did not begin on a good note, as China was hit with the Coronavirus...

 

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Resilient Market After last week’s sell-off the equity market continues to make a comeback with resilience. All indexes were on the verge of making a new high or made a new all-time high, although the relative strength (RSI) of...

 

Thursday, January 30, 2020

Pullback from Contagion A pandemic, in the form of Coronavirus (CoV), can’t come at the worse time for China, as the country starts its Lunar New Year celebrations, and the economy was expected to accelerate on the heels of the...

 

Friday, January 24, 2020

Data Stream The labor market continued to be strong for the month of December as the non-farm payrolls came in at 144K. Jobless claims, which often lead the equity markets, were down 10K to 204,000 in the week ending January 11 and...

 

Wednesday, January 15, 2020

US-Iran Tensions: How Geopolitics Affect the Stock Market In the early hours of January 3rd, near a Baghdad international airport, Iranian Major General Qasem Soleimani was killed in an American drone strike. A highly important figure...

 

Tuesday, January 7, 2020

Rock On or Rocky End? The equity markets were buoyed on the first trading day of 2020 as China’s central bank moved to boost their economic growth by pumping $115 billion into the China’s financial system. This move also...

 

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Risk-on With about 92% of the S&P 500 companies reporting actual results, the Q3 2019 earnings are tracking for about a 2.3% decline in earnings year over year. According to Factset, it will mark the first time the index has reported...

 

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Better than Feared According to Factset, in Q3 2019 (with 89% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting actual results), 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise and 60% of S&P 500 companies have reported a...

 

Monday, October 28, 2019

Mixed Bag With a barrage of earnings on the deck, the S&P 500 rally seems to have stalled at 3000. The unemployment claims data came in with the headline number at 212,000 new claims, which is down 6000 from the upwardly revised...

 

Friday, October 18, 2019

Done Deal This year Columbus Day was observed on October 14th, a holiday which commemorates the arrival of Christopher Columbus to the New World. Incidentally, this week also marks the turning point in the trade agreements between the...

 

Wednesday, October 9, 2019

Earnings Season The US labor market continues to roll with 136,000 jobs added in the month of September. Although the number was below expectations, combined jobs numbers for the months of July and August were revised higher by about...

 

Wednesday, October 2, 2019

Cash-wise The broad stock-market index (S&P 500) has rallied 20% this year, on track for the best performance in the first three quarters of a year since 1997. Last week, new single-family houses sold (for August) came in ahead of the...

 

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

The Value Factor The Federal Reserve Board cut the rates by 25 bps, which was widely expected by the markets. However, the Federal Reserve dot-plot (which projects the fed funds rate) now suggests that there are not going to be any...

 

Monday, September 16, 2019

Risk-On or Range Bound? The positive developments in the tariff war with China has helped the equities stage a comeback since a choppy August. As it becomes clear that the trade war is doing damage to our economy, I think the President...

 

Thursday, August 15, 2019

The economic contraction around the world has got the investors jittery about the growth prospects in the United States. European markets fell after the German economy contracted by 0.1% in the spring and China’s growth in growth...

 

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Most understand that waiting to claim Social Security benefits can result in higher monthly payments. However, many don’t know that there are other ways to maximize their benefits, some of which depend on their marital status....